Free. No login. No nonsense.
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Ashton Jeanty or CeeDee Lamb: who should I start?

Start CeeDee Lamb over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 20.2 to 14.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Ashton Jeanty carrying the football in 2025

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3

Recent PPG: 16.1

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 76%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Start lean
Photograph of CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor11.1
Median20.2
Ceiling20.2

Recent PPG: 23.4

Recent volume: 14.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start CeeDee Lamb

4.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
5.3
Projection
12.1
Ceiling
13.9
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
16.1
Half PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

6.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
7.5
Projection
14.1
Ceiling
15.3
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
11.1
Projection
20.2
Ceiling
20.2
PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

8.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
9.0
Projection
16.2
Ceiling
18.2
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
14.4
Projection
24.4
Ceiling
24.4

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. CeeDee Lamb: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

CeeDee Lamb scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · CeeDee Lamb: 32.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →