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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST

Amon-Ra St. Brown or Bijan Robinson: who should I start?

Start Bijan Robinson over Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 14.6 to 12.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. MIA
Floor9.3
Median12.7
Ceiling19.9

Recent PPG: 12.5

Recent volume: 9.5

Snap share: 75%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Bijan Robinson on the field in 2025

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. CIN
Floor10.0
Median14.6
Ceiling29.4

Recent PPG: 10.6

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 81%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Bijan Robinson

3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. MIA
Floor
6.3
Projection
9.2
Ceiling
15.5
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. CIN
Floor
8.6
Projection
12.8
Ceiling
27.4
Half PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. MIA
Floor
9.3
Projection
12.7
Ceiling
19.9
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. CIN
Floor
10.0
Projection
14.6
Ceiling
29.4
PPR

Start Bijan Robinson — close call

0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. MIA
Floor
11.9
Projection
16.2
Ceiling
24.8
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. CIN
Floor
11.4
Projection
16.5
Ceiling
32.4

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Amon-Ra St. Brown scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.1 Half PPR · Bijan Robinson: 7.6 Half PPR.

More Week 9 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →