Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARIFloor9.4
Median17.2
Ceiling19.7
Recent PPG: 19.0
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 85%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Brock Bowers: who should I start?
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Brock Bowers in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.2 to 15.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. ARIOpen player file →
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NEFloor7.8
Median15.0
Ceiling15.0
Recent PPG: 20.1
Recent volume: 12.0
Snap share: 81%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 6.2
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.4
- Projection
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 12.2
Half PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
2.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 9.4
- Projection
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 19.7
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 15.0
PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
2.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 12.8
- Projection
- 20.8
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 10.0
- Projection
- 18.3
- Ceiling
- 18.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Brock Bowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Brock Bowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.5 Half PPR · Brock Bowers: 17.6 Half PPR.