Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARIFloor9.4
Median17.2
Ceiling19.7
Recent PPG: 19.0
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 85%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Kyren Williams: who should I start?
Start Kyren Williams over Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 18.8 to 17.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. ARIOpen player file →
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUFFloor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 77%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Kyren Williams
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 6.2
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
Half PPR
Start Kyren Williams
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 9.4
- Projection
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 19.7
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 18.9
PPR
Start Kyren Williams — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 12.8
- Projection
- 20.8
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.6
- Projection
- 20.9
- Ceiling
- 20.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Kyren Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.5 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR.