Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEAFloor13.8
Median17.9
Ceiling26.0
Recent PPG: 16.5
Recent volume: 20.0
Snap share: 79%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Christian McCaffrey or Javonte Williams: who should I start?
Christian McCaffrey has the narrow Week 5 lean over Javonte Williams. The Half PPR projection is 17.9 to 17.5.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
SF vs. SEAOpen player file →
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TBFloor9.4
Median17.5
Ceiling18.4
Recent PPG: 18.6
Recent volume: 23.0
Snap share: 75%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Javonte Williams — close call
0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.6
- Projection
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
Recommended start
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 8.9
- Projection
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 17.8
Half PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey — close call
0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 13.8
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 26.0
Other option
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 9.4
- Projection
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 18.4
PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 20.4
- Ceiling
- 28.5
Other option
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 10.3
- Projection
- 19.2
- Ceiling
- 19.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Christian McCaffrey: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Javonte Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Javonte Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Christian McCaffrey: 14.5 Half PPR · Javonte Williams: 28.8 Half PPR.