Chris Olave
NO vs. CLEFloor9.1
Median11.6
Ceiling17.6
Recent PPG: 10.8
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 68%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST
Chris Olave or Derrick Henry: who should I start?
Start Derrick Henry over Chris Olave in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 12.7 to 11.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NO vs. CLEOpen player file →
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAXFloor11.3
Median12.7
Ceiling19.9
Recent PPG: 10.9
Recent volume: 16.0
Snap share: 48%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Derrick Henry
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 14.3
Recommended start
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 10.7
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 19.2
Half PPR
Start Derrick Henry
1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.1
- Projection
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 17.6
Recommended start
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 19.9
PPR
Start Chris Olave
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 12.6
- Projection
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 20.4
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 11.4
- Projection
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 20.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Chris Olave: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Derrick Henry: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · Close callAmon-Ra St. Brown over Derrick Henry12.7–12.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callAshton Jeanty over Chris Olave12.0–11.6 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.9-point leanBrock Bowers over Chris Olave14.5–11.6 Half PPR →FLEX · 1.8-point leanBrock Bowers over Derrick Henry14.5–12.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callDerrick Henry over CeeDee Lamb12.7–12.0 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callChase Brown over Chris Olave12.5–11.6 Half PPR →