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Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT

Brock Bowers or Derrick Henry: who should I start?

Start Derrick Henry over Brock Bowers in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 16.3 to 15.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Brock Bowers on the field in 2025

Brock Bowers

LV vs. LAR
Floor7.7
Median15.1
Ceiling18.2

Recent PPG: 17.1

Recent volume: 9.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. CIN
Floor12.5
Median16.3
Ceiling22.2

Recent PPG: 15.3

Recent volume: 22.0

Snap share: 56%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 7 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Derrick Henry

3.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Brock Bowers

LV vs. LAR
Floor
5.3
Projection
11.9
Ceiling
14.9
Recommended start

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
12.1
Projection
15.8
Ceiling
21.6
Half PPR

Start Derrick Henry

1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Brock Bowers

LV vs. LAR
Floor
7.7
Projection
15.1
Ceiling
18.2
Recommended start

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
12.5
Projection
16.3
Ceiling
22.2
PPR

Start Brock Bowers

1.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Brock Bowers

LV vs. LAR
Floor
9.9
Projection
18.4
Ceiling
21.3
Other option

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
12.7
Projection
16.9
Ceiling
22.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Brock Bowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Derrick Henry: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 6 final result

Brock Bowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Brock Bowers: 9.0 Half PPR · Derrick Henry: 4.5 Half PPR.

More Week 7 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →