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Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST

Bijan Robinson or Zay Flowers: who should I start?

Start Bijan Robinson over Zay Flowers in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 16.4 to 14.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Bijan Robinson on the field in 2025

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. TB
Floor9.6
Median16.4
Ceiling27.1

Recent PPG: 15.5

Recent volume: 18.0

Snap share: 80%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. BUF
Floor9.9
Median14.7
Ceiling19.0

Recent PPG: 16.5

Recent volume: 11.0

Snap share: 87%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 8 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Bijan Robinson

3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. TB
Floor
8.5
Projection
14.6
Ceiling
25.2
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
6.9
Projection
11.5
Ceiling
15.3
Half PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. TB
Floor
9.6
Projection
16.4
Ceiling
27.1
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
9.9
Projection
14.7
Ceiling
19.0
PPR

Start Bijan Robinson — close call

0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. TB
Floor
10.9
Projection
18.3
Ceiling
30.1
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
12.2
Projection
18.0
Ceiling
22.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Zay Flowers: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Bijan Robinson scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Bijan Robinson: 7.6 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 0.0 Half PPR.

More Week 8 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →