Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NEFloor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 22.5
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Zay Flowers: who should I start?
Start Zay Flowers over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.6 to 14.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATLFloor9.9
Median15.6
Ceiling17.3
Recent PPG: 19.4
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 53%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Zay Flowers — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.3
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 7.3
- Projection
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Half PPR
Start Zay Flowers
1.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 15.6
- Ceiling
- 17.3
PPR
Start Zay Flowers
2.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 12.0
- Projection
- 18.3
- Ceiling
- 21.2
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Zay Flowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 21.8 Half PPR.