Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUFFloor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 77%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Kyren Williams or Puka Nacua: who should I start?
Start Kyren Williams over Puka Nacua in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 18.8 to 17.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LAR vs. BUFOpen player file →
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUFFloor12.4
Median17.8
Ceiling22.8
Recent PPG: 16.6
Recent volume: 10.5
Snap share: 80%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Kyren Williams
2.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
Other option
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 18.4
Half PPR
Start Kyren Williams
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 18.9
Other option
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.4
- Projection
- 17.8
- Ceiling
- 22.8
PPR
Start Puka Nacua — close call
0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.6
- Projection
- 20.9
- Ceiling
- 20.9
Recommended start
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 21.6
- Ceiling
- 27.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Puka Nacua: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Kyren Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR · Puka Nacua: 23.2 Half PPR.