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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Javonte Williams or Zay Flowers: who should I start?

Start Javonte Williams over Zay Flowers in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.5 to 15.6.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor9.4
Median17.5
Ceiling18.4

Recent PPG: 18.6

Recent volume: 23.0

Snap share: 75%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor9.9
Median15.6
Ceiling17.3

Recent PPG: 19.4

Recent volume: 8.0

Snap share: 53%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Javonte Williams

2.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
8.9
Projection
15.8
Ceiling
17.8
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
7.3
Projection
12.9
Ceiling
13.6
Half PPR

Start Javonte Williams

1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
9.4
Projection
17.5
Ceiling
18.4
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
9.9
Projection
15.6
Ceiling
17.3
PPR

Start Javonte Williams — close call

0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
10.3
Projection
19.2
Ceiling
19.3
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
12.0
Projection
18.3
Ceiling
21.2

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Javonte Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Javonte Williams scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Javonte Williams: 28.8 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 21.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →