George Pickens
DAL vs. TBFloor7.0
Median11.0
Ceiling16.4
Recent PPG: 7.9
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 86%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
George Pickens or Michael Wilson: who should I start?
Michael Wilson has the narrow Week 5 lean over George Pickens. The Half PPR projection is 11.9 to 11.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DAL vs. TBOpen player file →
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DETFloor6.6
Median11.9
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 11.1
Recent volume: 15.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 4.0
- Projection
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 13.2
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 4.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 16.0
Half PPR
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 7.0
- Projection
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 16.4
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Michael Wilson
1.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 9.6
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 8.6
- Projection
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
George Pickens: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Michael Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Michael Wilson scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
George Pickens: 8.5 Half PPR · Michael Wilson: 13.0 Half PPR.