Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Garrett Wilson or George Pickens: who should I start?
Start Garrett Wilson over George Pickens in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 12.4 to 11.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NYJ vs. CLEOpen player file →
George Pickens
DAL vs. TBFloor7.0
Median11.0
Ceiling16.4
Recent PPG: 7.9
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 86%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Garrett Wilson
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 4.0
- Projection
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 13.2
Half PPR
Start Garrett Wilson
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 7.0
- Projection
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 16.4
PPR
Start Garrett Wilson
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Other option
George Pickens
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 9.6
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. George Pickens: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
George Pickens scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR · George Pickens: 8.5 Half PPR.