Chris Olave
NO vs. MINFloor10.8
Median15.9
Ceiling19.1
Recent PPG: 18.2
Recent volume: 12.5
Snap share: 85%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson: who should I start?
Start Chris Olave over Garrett Wilson in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.9 to 12.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NO vs. MINOpen player file →
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Chris Olave
2.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Half PPR
Start Chris Olave
3.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 10.8
- Projection
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 19.1
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
PPR
Start Chris Olave
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 14.1
- Projection
- 19.7
- Ceiling
- 22.8
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Chris Olave: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Chris Olave scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Chris Olave: 15.6 Half PPR · Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR.