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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT

DeVonta Smith or George Pickens: who should I start?

Start George Pickens over DeVonta Smith in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 11.0 to 0.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0

Recent PPG: 13.0

Recent volume: 10.5

Snap share: 94%

Availability: Out

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Start lean
Photograph of George Pickens

George Pickens

DAL vs. TB
Floor7.0
Median11.0
Ceiling16.4

Recent PPG: 7.9

Recent volume: 7.0

Snap share: 86%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start George Pickens

8.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

George Pickens

DAL vs. TB
Floor
4.0
Projection
8.5
Ceiling
13.2
Half PPR

Start George Pickens

11.0-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

George Pickens

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.0
Projection
11.0
Ceiling
16.4
PPR

Start George Pickens

13.6-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

George Pickens

DAL vs. TB
Floor
9.6
Projection
13.6
Ceiling
19.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.

DeVonta Smith: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. George Pickens: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

More Week 5 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →