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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST

DeVonta Smith or Zay Flowers: who should I start?

Start Zay Flowers over DeVonta Smith in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 11.5 to 0.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. NYG
Floor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0

Recent PPG: 14.0

Recent volume: 11.0

Snap share: 83%

Availability: Out

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Start lean
Photograph of Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. JAX
Floor9.9
Median11.5
Ceiling19.0

Recent PPG: 11.0

Recent volume: 8.0

Snap share: 84%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Zay Flowers

8.8-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. JAX
Floor
6.9
Projection
8.8
Ceiling
15.2
Half PPR

Start Zay Flowers

11.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. JAX
Floor
9.9
Projection
11.5
Ceiling
19.0
PPR

Start Zay Flowers

14.2-point gapLow confidence
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Recommended start

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. JAX
Floor
12.3
Projection
14.2
Ceiling
22.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.

DeVonta Smith: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

More Week 9 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →