DeVonta Smith
PHI vs. JAXFloor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0
Recent PPG: 13.0
Recent volume: 10.5
Snap share: 94%
Availability: Out
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
DeVonta Smith or Zay Flowers: who should I start?
Start Zay Flowers over DeVonta Smith in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 13.7 to 0.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
PHI vs. JAXOpen player file →
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATLFloor8.7
Median13.7
Ceiling15.2
Recent PPG: 19.4
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 53%
Availability: Questionable
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Zay Flowers
11.3-point gapLow confidence
Other option
DeVonta Smith
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 11.9
Half PPR
Start Zay Flowers
13.7-point gapLow confidence
Other option
DeVonta Smith
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 8.7
- Projection
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 15.2
PPR
Start Zay Flowers
16.1-point gapLow confidence
Other option
DeVonta Smith
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
Recommended start
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 10.6
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 18.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
DeVonta Smith: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 5 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · 3.5-point leanAmon-Ra St. Brown over Zay Flowers17.2–13.7 Half PPR →WR · 2.2-point leanChris Olave over Zay Flowers15.9–13.7 Half PPR →WR · Close callChristian Watson over Zay Flowers14.3–13.7 Half PPR →WR · 1.3-point leanDavante Adams over Zay Flowers15.0–13.7 Half PPR →WR · Close callDrake London over Zay Flowers13.9–13.7 Half PPR →