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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT

Amon-Ra St. Brown or Zay Flowers: who should I start?

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Zay Flowers in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.2 to 13.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. ARI
Floor9.4
Median17.2
Ceiling19.7

Recent PPG: 19.0

Recent volume: 9.5

Snap share: 85%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor8.7
Median13.7
Ceiling15.2

Recent PPG: 19.4

Recent volume: 8.0

Snap share: 53%

Availability: Questionable

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown

2.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. ARI
Floor
6.2
Projection
13.6
Ceiling
15.0
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
6.4
Projection
11.3
Ceiling
11.9
Half PPR

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown

3.5-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. ARI
Floor
9.4
Projection
17.2
Ceiling
19.7
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
8.7
Projection
13.7
Ceiling
15.2
PPR

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown

4.7-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET vs. ARI
Floor
12.8
Projection
20.8
Ceiling
24.9
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
10.6
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
18.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.

Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Zay Flowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.5 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 21.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →