George Kittle
SF vs. SEAFloor5.5
Median13.7
Ceiling19.5
Recent PPG: 14.1
Recent volume: 6.5
Snap share: 88%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
George Kittle or Tyler Warren: who should I start?
Start George Kittle over Tyler Warren in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 13.7 to 9.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
SF vs. SEAOpen player file →
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PITFloor5.4
Median9.6
Ceiling11.2
Recent PPG: 9.3
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 90%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start George Kittle
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
George Kittle
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 3.0
- Projection
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 8.9
Half PPR
Start George Kittle
4.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
George Kittle
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 5.5
- Projection
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 19.5
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 5.4
- Projection
- 9.6
- Ceiling
- 11.2
PPR
Start George Kittle
3.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
George Kittle
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 7.9
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 23.8
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 8.1
- Projection
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom TE decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
George Kittle: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Tyler Warren: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
George Kittle scored more. The pregame lean was right.
George Kittle: 15.0 Half PPR · Tyler Warren: 6.6 Half PPR.
More Week 5 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
TE · Close callTyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid9.6–8.8 Half PPR →TE · 5.9-point leanGeorge Kittle over Pat Freiermuth13.7–7.8 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callChristian Watson over George Kittle14.3–13.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callD'Andre Swift over George Kittle14.2–13.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callDrake London over George Kittle13.9–13.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callGeorge Kittle over Zay Flowers13.7–13.7 Half PPR →