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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT

George Kittle or Pat Freiermuth: who should I start?

Start George Kittle over Pat Freiermuth in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 13.7 to 7.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of George Kittle

George Kittle

SF vs. SEA
Floor5.5
Median13.7
Ceiling19.5

Recent PPG: 14.1

Recent volume: 6.5

Snap share: 88%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. IND
Floor3.8
Median7.8
Ceiling9.5

Recent PPG: 8.0

Recent volume: 4.5

Snap share: 68%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start George Kittle

5.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. SEA
Floor
3.0
Projection
11.4
Ceiling
15.0
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. IND
Floor
2.0
Projection
6.1
Ceiling
8.0
Half PPR

Start George Kittle

5.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. SEA
Floor
5.5
Projection
13.7
Ceiling
19.5
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. IND
Floor
3.8
Projection
7.8
Ceiling
9.5
PPR

Start George Kittle

6.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. SEA
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
23.8
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. IND
Floor
5.0
Projection
9.5
Ceiling
11.1

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Nearly even early scoring makes current targets, snaps, and opponent context the useful tiebreakers.

George Kittle: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Pat Freiermuth: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

George Kittle scored more. The pregame lean was right.

George Kittle: 15.0 Half PPR · Pat Freiermuth: 9.2 Half PPR.

More Week 5 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →