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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

George Kittle or Pat Freiermuth: who should I start?

Start George Kittle over Pat Freiermuth in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 11.1 to 8.3.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of George Kittle

George Kittle

SF vs. ARI
Floor5.3
Median11.1
Ceiling16.9

Recent PPG: 9.1

Recent volume: 4.5

Snap share: 47%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. CIN
Floor3.0
Median8.3
Ceiling9.0

Recent PPG: 9.3

Recent volume: 5.0

Snap share: 70%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start George Kittle

2.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. ARI
Floor
3.0
Projection
8.9
Ceiling
14.3
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
1.9
Projection
6.3
Ceiling
7.4
Half PPR

Start George Kittle

2.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. ARI
Floor
5.3
Projection
11.1
Ceiling
16.9
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
3.0
Projection
8.3
Ceiling
9.0
PPR

Start George Kittle

2.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

George Kittle

SF vs. ARI
Floor
7.7
Projection
13.2
Ceiling
20.2
Other option

Pat Freiermuth

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
4.3
Projection
10.3
Ceiling
10.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Nearly even early scoring makes current targets, snaps, and opponent context the useful tiebreakers.

George Kittle: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Pat Freiermuth: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →