Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LARFloor4.2
Median8.8
Ceiling13.9
Recent PPG: 9.6
Recent volume: 2.5
Snap share: 63%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren: who should I start?
Tyler Warren has the narrow Week 5 lean over Dalton Kincaid. The Half PPR projection is 9.6 to 8.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
BUF vs. LAROpen player file →
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PITFloor5.4
Median9.6
Ceiling11.2
Recent PPG: 9.3
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 90%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Dalton Kincaid — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAR- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 11.1
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 8.9
Half PPR
Start Tyler Warren — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAR- Floor
- 4.2
- Projection
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Recommended start
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 5.4
- Projection
- 9.6
- Ceiling
- 11.2
PPR
Start Tyler Warren
1.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAR- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 16.8
Recommended start
Tyler Warren
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 8.1
- Projection
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two top redraft tight ends whose recent routes, targets, and opponent coverage create a close call.
Dalton Kincaid: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Tyler Warren: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Tyler Warren scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Dalton Kincaid: 1.2 Half PPR · Tyler Warren: 6.6 Half PPR.