Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. MINFloor3.1
Median7.6
Ceiling14.2
Recent PPG: 7.1
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 65%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren: who should I start?
Start Tyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 9.3 to 7.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
BUF vs. MINOpen player file →
Tyler Warren
IND vs. DALFloor5.0
Median9.3
Ceiling9.9
Recent PPG: 9.6
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 83%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Tyler Warren — close call
0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. MIN- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 11.3
Recommended start
Tyler Warren
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 7.5
Half PPR
Start Tyler Warren
1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. MIN- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 14.2
Recommended start
Tyler Warren
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 5.0
- Projection
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 9.9
PPR
Start Tyler Warren
2.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. MIN- Floor
- 3.8
- Projection
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 17.1
Recommended start
Tyler Warren
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 12.1
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two top redraft tight ends whose recent routes, targets, and opponent coverage create a close call.
Dalton Kincaid: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Tyler Warren: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Dalton Kincaid scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Dalton Kincaid: 16.6 Half PPR · Tyler Warren: 3.8 Half PPR.