Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LACFloor4.4
Median10.6
Ceiling14.1
Recent PPG: 17.3
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 69%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren: who should I start?
Start Dalton Kincaid over Tyler Warren in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 10.6 to 9.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
BUF vs. LACOpen player file →
Tyler Warren
IND vs. HOUFloor5.0
Median9.1
Ceiling12.6
Recent PPG: 10.1
Recent volume: 6.0
Snap share: 91%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Dalton Kincaid
1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAC- Floor
- 3.2
- Projection
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 11.3
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 2.9
- Projection
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 9.9
Half PPR
Start Dalton Kincaid
1.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAC- Floor
- 4.4
- Projection
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 14.1
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 5.0
- Projection
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 12.6
PPR
Start Dalton Kincaid
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Dalton Kincaid
BUF vs. LAC- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 17.0
Other option
Tyler Warren
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 14.8
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two top redraft tight ends whose recent routes, targets, and opponent coverage create a close call.
Dalton Kincaid: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Tyler Warren: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.