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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT

Garrett Wilson or Justin Jefferson: who should I start?

Start Garrett Wilson over Justin Jefferson in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 12.4 to 9.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6

Recent PPG: 12.7

Recent volume: 8.5

Snap share: 97%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

MIN vs. NO
Floor4.0
Median9.1
Ceiling10.0

Recent PPG: 12.8

Recent volume: 4.0

Snap share: 56%

Availability: Questionable

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Garrett Wilson

2.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
5.2
Projection
9.5
Ceiling
13.6
Other option

Justin Jefferson

MIN vs. NO
Floor
2.6
Projection
7.2
Ceiling
7.5
Half PPR

Start Garrett Wilson

3.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
7.2
Projection
12.4
Ceiling
16.6
Other option

Justin Jefferson

MIN vs. NO
Floor
4.0
Projection
9.1
Ceiling
10.0
PPR

Start Garrett Wilson

4.2-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
9.2
Projection
15.2
Ceiling
19.6
Other option

Justin Jefferson

MIN vs. NO
Floor
5.4
Projection
11.0
Ceiling
12.5

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.

Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Justin Jefferson: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →