Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. MIAFloor8.2
Median11.2
Ceiling17.5
Recent PPG: 12.5
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 75%
Availability: Questionable
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Justin Jefferson: who should I start?
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 11.2 to 9.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. MIAOpen player file →
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. BUFFloor4.8
Median9.4
Ceiling12.4
Recent PPG: 9.6
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 95%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
1.0-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 5.5
- Projection
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 3.2
- Projection
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 9.7
Half PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
1.8-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 8.2
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 17.5
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 4.8
- Projection
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 12.4
PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
2.4-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 10.5
- Projection
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 21.8
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 15.2
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two target-commanding WR1s compared through current volume, scoring format, and defensive matchup.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Justin Jefferson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Justin Jefferson scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.1 Half PPR · Justin Jefferson: 11.8 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · Close callCeeDee Lamb over Amon-Ra St. Brown12.0–11.2 Half PPR →WR · Close callChris Olave over Amon-Ra St. Brown11.6–11.2 Half PPR →WR · Close callChristian Watson over Amon-Ra St. Brown11.9–11.2 Half PPR →WR · Close callDrake London over Amon-Ra St. Brown11.7–11.2 Half PPR →WR · 5.4-point leanJa'Marr Chase over Amon-Ra St. Brown16.6–11.2 Half PPR →WR · 9.3-point leanJaxon Smith-Njigba over Amon-Ra St. Brown20.5–11.2 Half PPR →