Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. NYJFloor10.8
Median19.6
Ceiling23.7
Recent PPG: 27.2
Recent volume: 13.5
Snap share: 93%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Justin Jefferson: who should I start?
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 19.6 to 11.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. NYJOpen player file →
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. TBFloor5.6
Median11.8
Ceiling14.1
Recent PPG: 17.1
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 96%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
6.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. NYJ- Floor
- 6.7
- Projection
- 15.7
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 3.6
- Projection
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 10.6
Half PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
7.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. NYJ- Floor
- 10.8
- Projection
- 19.6
- Ceiling
- 23.7
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 14.1
PPR
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
9.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. NYJ- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 23.6
- Ceiling
- 27.7
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 7.7
- Projection
- 14.4
- Ceiling
- 17.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two target-commanding WR1s compared through current volume, scoring format, and defensive matchup.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Justin Jefferson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.