Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Garrett Wilson or Jaylen Warren: who should I start?
Jaylen Warren has the narrow Week 5 lean over Garrett Wilson. The Half PPR projection is 12.7 to 12.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NYJ vs. CLEOpen player file →
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. INDFloor8.4
Median12.7
Ceiling14.9
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 22.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jaylen Warren
1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 7.3
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 13.7
Half PPR
Start Jaylen Warren — close call
0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 8.4
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 14.9
PPR
Start Garrett Wilson
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Other option
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Jaylen Warren: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Jaylen Warren scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR · Jaylen Warren: 14.1 Half PPR.