Brock Bowers
LV vs. NEFloor7.8
Median15.0
Ceiling15.0
Recent PPG: 20.1
Recent volume: 12.0
Snap share: 81%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Brock Bowers or Garrett Wilson: who should I start?
Start Brock Bowers over Garrett Wilson in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.0 to 12.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Brock Bowers
2.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.4
- Projection
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 12.2
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Half PPR
Start Brock Bowers
2.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
PPR
Start Brock Bowers
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 10.0
- Projection
- 18.3
- Ceiling
- 18.3
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Brock Bowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Brock Bowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Brock Bowers: 17.6 Half PPR · Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR.