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Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT

Drake Maye or Lamar Jackson: who should I start?

Start Drake Maye over Lamar Jackson in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 23.6 to 19.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Drake Maye

Drake Maye

NE vs. CHI
Floor16.5
Median23.6
Ceiling25.8

Recent PPG: 23.3

Recent volume: 38.5

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs. CIN
Floor9.8
Median19.1
Ceiling22.1

Recent PPG: 19.8

Recent volume: 24.0

Snap share: 76%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 7 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Drake Maye

4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Drake Maye

NE vs. CHI
Floor
16.5
Projection
23.6
Ceiling
25.8
Other option

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
9.8
Projection
19.1
Ceiling
22.1
Half PPR

Start Drake Maye

4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Drake Maye

NE vs. CHI
Floor
16.5
Projection
23.6
Ceiling
25.8
Other option

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
9.8
Projection
19.1
Ceiling
22.1
PPR

Start Drake Maye

4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Drake Maye

NE vs. CHI
Floor
16.5
Projection
23.6
Ceiling
25.8
Other option

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs. CIN
Floor
9.8
Projection
19.1
Ceiling
22.1

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.

Drake Maye: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Lamar Jackson: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

More Week 7 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →