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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Drake Maye or Brock Purdy: who should I start?

Start Brock Purdy over Drake Maye in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 20.7 to 16.4.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Drake Maye

Drake Maye

NE vs. JAX
Floor15.7
Median16.4
Ceiling23.4

Recent PPG: 8.9

Recent volume: 33.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy

SF vs. ARI
Floor14.4
Median20.7
Ceiling26.6

Recent PPG: 24.8

Recent volume: 32.0

Snap share: 93%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Brock Purdy

4.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Drake Maye

NE vs. JAX
Floor
15.7
Projection
16.3
Ceiling
23.4
Recommended start

Brock Purdy

SF vs. ARI
Floor
14.4
Projection
20.7
Ceiling
26.6
Half PPR

Start Brock Purdy

4.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Drake Maye

NE vs. JAX
Floor
15.7
Projection
16.4
Ceiling
23.4
Recommended start

Brock Purdy

SF vs. ARI
Floor
14.4
Projection
20.7
Ceiling
26.6
PPR

Start Brock Purdy

4.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Drake Maye

NE vs. JAX
Floor
15.6
Projection
16.4
Ceiling
23.4
Recommended start

Brock Purdy

SF vs. ARI
Floor
14.3
Projection
20.6
Ceiling
26.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A weekly QB1-border choice between Maye's dual-threat profile and Purdy's established passing efficiency.

Drake Maye: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Brock Purdy: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →