Drake Maye
NE vs. MIAFloor16.2
Median27.0
Ceiling27.0
Recent PPG: 29.2
Recent volume: 35.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Drake Maye or Joe Burrow: who should I start?
Start Drake Maye over Joe Burrow in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 27.0 to 22.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NE vs. MIAOpen player file →
Joe Burrow
CIN vs. TENFloor14.1
Median22.9
Ceiling24.3
Recent PPG: 25.0
Recent volume: 34.0
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Drake Maye
4.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. MIA- Floor
- 16.2
- Projection
- 27.0
- Ceiling
- 27.0
Other option
Joe Burrow
CIN vs. TEN- Floor
- 14.1
- Projection
- 22.9
- Ceiling
- 24.3
Half PPR
Start Drake Maye
4.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. MIA- Floor
- 16.2
- Projection
- 27.0
- Ceiling
- 27.0
Other option
Joe Burrow
CIN vs. TEN- Floor
- 14.1
- Projection
- 22.9
- Ceiling
- 24.3
PPR
Start Drake Maye
4.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. MIA- Floor
- 16.2
- Projection
- 26.9
- Ceiling
- 26.9
Other option
Joe Burrow
CIN vs. TEN- Floor
- 14.1
- Projection
- 22.9
- Ceiling
- 24.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Drake Maye: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Joe Burrow: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Joe Burrow scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Drake Maye: 22.5 Half PPR · Joe Burrow: 39.5 Half PPR.
More Week 8 decisions