Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUFFloor6.5
Median15.0
Ceiling20.3
Recent PPG: 15.5
Recent volume: 11.0
Snap share: 89%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
Davante Adams or Zay Flowers: who should I start?
Start Davante Adams over Zay Flowers in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.0 to 13.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LAR vs. BUFOpen player file →
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATLFloor8.7
Median13.7
Ceiling15.2
Recent PPG: 19.4
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 53%
Availability: Questionable
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Davante Adams
1.1-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 18.1
Other option
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 11.9
Half PPR
Start Davante Adams
1.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 6.5
- Projection
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 20.3
Other option
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 8.7
- Projection
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 15.2
PPR
Start Davante Adams
1.4-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Other option
Zay Flowers
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 10.6
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 18.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Davante Adams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Zay Flowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Davante Adams: 5.2 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 21.8 Half PPR.
More Week 5 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · 3.7-point leanDavante Adams over A.J. Brown15.0–11.3 Half PPR →WR · 3.5-point leanAmon-Ra St. Brown over Zay Flowers17.2–13.7 Half PPR →WR · 2.2-point leanChris Olave over Zay Flowers15.9–13.7 Half PPR →WR · Close callChristian Watson over Zay Flowers14.3–13.7 Half PPR →WR · 2.6-point leanDavante Adams over Garrett Wilson15.0–12.4 Half PPR →WR · 3.1-point leanDavante Adams over Michael Wilson15.0–11.9 Half PPR →