A.J. Brown
NE vs. JAXFloor4.7
Median11.2
Ceiling14.9
Recent PPG: 4.1
Recent volume: 5.5
Snap share: 67%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
A.J. Brown or Davante Adams: who should I start?
Start Davante Adams over A.J. Brown in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 16.1 to 11.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NE vs. JAXOpen player file →
Davante Adams
LAR vs. DENFloor6.8
Median16.1
Ceiling19.5
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 60%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Davante Adams
4.8-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. JAX- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 11.3
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. DEN- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 13.5
- Ceiling
- 17.2
Half PPR
Start Davante Adams
4.9-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. JAX- Floor
- 4.7
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. DEN- Floor
- 6.8
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 19.5
PPR
Start Davante Adams
5.1-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. JAX- Floor
- 6.9
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 18.9
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. DEN- Floor
- 8.6
- Projection
- 18.7
- Ceiling
- 22.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
An established-veteran matchup where target volume, availability, and touchdown ceiling drive the call.
A.J. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Davante Adams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.