A.J. Brown
NE vs. LVFloor4.8
Median11.3
Ceiling15.1
Recent PPG: 4.1
Recent volume: 5.5
Snap share: 67%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
A.J. Brown or Davante Adams: who should I start?
Start Davante Adams over A.J. Brown in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.0 to 11.3.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NE vs. LVOpen player file →
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUFFloor6.5
Median15.0
Ceiling20.3
Recent PPG: 15.5
Recent volume: 11.0
Snap share: 89%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Davante Adams
3.5-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 11.5
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 18.1
Half PPR
Start Davante Adams
3.7-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 4.8
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 15.1
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 6.5
- Projection
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 20.3
PPR
Start Davante Adams
3.7-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 7.0
- Projection
- 13.8
- Ceiling
- 19.1
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
An established-veteran matchup where target volume, availability, and touchdown ceiling drive the call.
A.J. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Davante Adams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 5 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · 1.1-point leanGarrett Wilson over A.J. Brown12.4–11.3 Half PPR →WR · Close callA.J. Brown over George Pickens11.3–11.0 Half PPR →WR · Close callJa'Marr Chase over A.J. Brown11.6–11.3 Half PPR →WR · Close callA.J. Brown over Malik Nabers11.3–10.7 Half PPR →WR · Close callMichael Wilson over A.J. Brown11.9–11.3 Half PPR →WR · 1.0-point leanTee Higgins over A.J. Brown12.3–11.3 Half PPR →