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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

D'Andre Swift or Zay Flowers: who should I start?

Start Zay Flowers over D'Andre Swift in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 15.6 to 14.2.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor8.8
Median14.2
Ceiling20.6

Recent PPG: 14.6

Recent volume: 20.0

Snap share: 52%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Start lean
Photograph of Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor9.9
Median15.6
Ceiling17.3

Recent PPG: 19.4

Recent volume: 8.0

Snap share: 53%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start D'Andre Swift — close call

0.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
7.7
Projection
12.9
Ceiling
19.9
Other option

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
7.3
Projection
12.9
Ceiling
13.6
Half PPR

Start Zay Flowers

1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
8.8
Projection
14.2
Ceiling
20.6
Recommended start

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
9.9
Projection
15.6
Ceiling
17.3
PPR

Start Zay Flowers

2.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
9.1
Projection
15.4
Ceiling
21.3
Recommended start

Zay Flowers

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
12.0
Projection
18.3
Ceiling
21.2

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

D'Andre Swift: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Zay Flowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Zay Flowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

D'Andre Swift: 6.4 Half PPR · Zay Flowers: 21.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →