Dak Prescott
DAL vs. INDFloor13.7
Median16.8
Ceiling22.5
Recent PPG: 16.7
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST
Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start?
Start Trevor Lawrence over Dak Prescott in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 21.3 to 16.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DAL vs. INDOpen player file →
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. BALFloor16.7
Median21.3
Ceiling24.2
Recent PPG: 20.4
Recent volume: 30.5
Snap share: 91%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trevor Lawrence
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. BAL- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 21.3
- Ceiling
- 24.2
Half PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. BAL- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 21.3
- Ceiling
- 24.2
PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. BAL- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 21.3
- Ceiling
- 24.2
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Dak Prescott: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Trevor Lawrence: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Dak Prescott scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Dak Prescott: 19.8 Half PPR · Trevor Lawrence: 19.4 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions