Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TBFloor13.9
Median17.0
Ceiling23.1
Recent PPG: 15.1
Recent volume: 37.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott: who should I start?
Caleb Williams has the narrow Week 9 lean over Dak Prescott. The Half PPR projection is 17.0 to 16.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CHI vs. TBOpen player file →
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. INDFloor13.7
Median16.8
Ceiling22.5
Recent PPG: 16.7
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Caleb Williams — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Half PPR
Start Caleb Williams — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
PPR
Start Caleb Williams — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two highly rostered quarterbacks with nearly identical early-season scoring and passing volume.
Caleb Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Dak Prescott: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Dak Prescott scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Caleb Williams: 14.0 Half PPR · Dak Prescott: 19.8 Half PPR.
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