Caleb Williams
CHI vs. GBFloor9.8
Median16.7
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 22.5
Recent volume: 35.0
Snap share: 93%
Availability: Questionable
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott: who should I start?
Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 21.2 to 16.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CHI vs. GBOpen player file →
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TBFloor16.3
Median21.2
Ceiling24.5
Recent PPG: 20.3
Recent volume: 45.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Dak Prescott
4.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. GB- Floor
- 9.8
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
Half PPR
Start Dak Prescott
4.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. GB- Floor
- 9.8
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
PPR
Start Dak Prescott
4.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. GB- Floor
- 9.8
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two highly rostered quarterbacks with nearly identical early-season scoring and passing volume.
Caleb Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Dak Prescott: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 5 decisions