Caleb Williams
CHI vs. PHIFloor11.0
Median18.9
Ceiling21.3
Recent PPG: 22.5
Recent volume: 35.0
Snap share: 93%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott: who should I start?
Dak Prescott has the narrow Week 3 lean over Caleb Williams. The Half PPR projection is 19.8 to 18.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CHI vs. PHIOpen player file →
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. BALFloor15.5
Median19.8
Ceiling25.7
Recent PPG: 22.1
Recent volume: 35.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Dak Prescott
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. PHI- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 21.3
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. BAL- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 19.8
- Ceiling
- 25.6
Half PPR
Start Dak Prescott — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. PHI- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 18.9
- Ceiling
- 21.3
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. BAL- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 19.8
- Ceiling
- 25.7
PPR
Start Dak Prescott — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. PHI- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 18.9
- Ceiling
- 21.3
Recommended start
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. BAL- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 19.8
- Ceiling
- 25.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two highly rostered quarterbacks with nearly identical early-season scoring and passing volume.
Caleb Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Dak Prescott: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.