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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST

Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels: who should I start?

Trevor Lawrence has the narrow Week 9 lean over Jayden Daniels. The Half PPR projection is 21.2 to 20.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. BAL
Floor16.7
Median21.2
Ceiling24.2

Recent PPG: 20.4

Recent volume: 30.5

Snap share: 91%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels

WAS vs. LAR
Floor15.6
Median20.7
Ceiling22.7

Recent PPG: 20.8

Recent volume: 37.5

Snap share: 100%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

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Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Trevor Lawrence — close call

0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. BAL
Floor
16.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.2
Other option

Jayden Daniels

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
15.6
Projection
20.7
Ceiling
22.7
Half PPR

Start Trevor Lawrence — close call

0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. BAL
Floor
16.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.2
Other option

Jayden Daniels

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
15.6
Projection
20.7
Ceiling
22.7
PPR

Start Trevor Lawrence — close call

0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. BAL
Floor
16.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.2
Other option

Jayden Daniels

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
15.6
Projection
20.7
Ceiling
22.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Their early-season scoring is level, while rushing opportunity and opponent context separate the projections.

Trevor Lawrence: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Jayden Daniels: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Trevor Lawrence scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Trevor Lawrence: 19.4 Half PPR · Jayden Daniels: 15.0 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →