Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. NEFloor15.9
Median17.3
Ceiling23.1
Recent PPG: 16.2
Recent volume: 28.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels: who should I start?
Trevor Lawrence has the narrow Week 3 lean over Jayden Daniels. The Half PPR projection is 17.3 to 17.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
JAX vs. NEOpen player file →
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. SEAFloor14.4
Median17.1
Ceiling23.5
Recent PPG: 16.2
Recent volume: 31.5
Snap share: 78%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trevor Lawrence — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. NE- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 17.3
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. SEA- Floor
- 14.4
- Projection
- 17.1
- Ceiling
- 23.5
Half PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. NE- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 17.3
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. SEA- Floor
- 14.4
- Projection
- 17.1
- Ceiling
- 23.5
PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. NE- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 17.3
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Other option
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. SEA- Floor
- 14.4
- Projection
- 17.1
- Ceiling
- 23.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Their early-season scoring is level, while rushing opportunity and opponent context separate the projections.
Trevor Lawrence: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Jayden Daniels: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.