Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. PHIFloor16.1
Median17.4
Ceiling22.5
Recent PPG: 16.3
Recent volume: 29.5
Snap share: 98%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 11, 2026, 7:29 AM EDT
Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels: who should I start?
Jayden Daniels has the narrow Week 5 lean over Trevor Lawrence. The Half PPR projection is 17.9 to 17.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
JAX vs. PHIOpen player file →
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. NYGFloor15.1
Median17.9
Ceiling24.6
Recent PPG: 16.2
Recent volume: 31.5
Snap share: 78%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jayden Daniels — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. PHI- Floor
- 16.1
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. NYG- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 24.6
Half PPR
Start Jayden Daniels — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. PHI- Floor
- 16.1
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. NYG- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 24.6
PPR
Start Jayden Daniels — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. PHI- Floor
- 16.1
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Jayden Daniels
WAS vs. NYG- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 24.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Their early-season scoring is level, while rushing opportunity and opponent context separate the projections.
Trevor Lawrence: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Jayden Daniels: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.