Dak Prescott
DAL vs. INDFloor13.7
Median16.8
Ceiling22.5
Recent PPG: 16.7
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST
Dak Prescott or Drake Maye: who should I start?
Start Drake Maye over Dak Prescott in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 24.9 to 16.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DAL vs. INDOpen player file →
Drake Maye
NE vs. GBFloor15.3
Median24.9
Ceiling24.9
Recent PPG: 28.3
Recent volume: 31.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Drake Maye
8.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. GB- Floor
- 15.3
- Projection
- 24.9
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Half PPR
Start Drake Maye
8.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. GB- Floor
- 15.3
- Projection
- 24.9
- Ceiling
- 24.9
PPR
Start Drake Maye
8.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. IND- Floor
- 13.7
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
Recommended start
Drake Maye
NE vs. GB- Floor
- 15.3
- Projection
- 24.9
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Dak Prescott: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Drake Maye: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Drake Maye scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Dak Prescott: 19.8 Half PPR · Drake Maye: 22.5 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions