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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT

CeeDee Lamb or Jonathan Taylor: who should I start?

CeeDee Lamb has the narrow Week 5 lean over Jonathan Taylor. The Half PPR projection is 20.1 to 19.9.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor11.1
Median20.1
Ceiling20.1

Recent PPG: 23.4

Recent volume: 14.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

Open player file →
Photograph of Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor10.4
Median19.9
Ceiling23.9

Recent PPG: 20.3

Recent volume: 25.0

Snap share: 78%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Jonathan Taylor

2.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.0
Ceiling
16.0
Recommended start

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
9.1
Projection
18.6
Ceiling
22.3
Half PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb — close call

0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
11.1
Projection
20.1
Ceiling
20.1
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.4
Projection
19.9
Ceiling
23.9
PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

3.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
14.4
Projection
24.3
Ceiling
24.3
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.7
Projection
21.3
Ceiling
25.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

CeeDee Lamb: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Jonathan Taylor: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

CeeDee Lamb scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

CeeDee Lamb: 32.8 Half PPR · Jonathan Taylor: 22.2 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →