Caleb Williams
CHI vs. SEAFloor11.3
Median19.6
Ceiling22.0
Recent PPG: 20.9
Recent volume: 39.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford: who should I start?
Start Caleb Williams over Matthew Stafford in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 19.6 to 18.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CHI vs. SEAOpen player file →
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LACFloor12.3
Median18.0
Ceiling25.1
Recent PPG: 17.9
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Caleb Williams
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 19.6
- Ceiling
- 22.0
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
Half PPR
Start Caleb Williams
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 19.6
- Ceiling
- 22.0
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
PPR
Start Caleb Williams
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.2
- Projection
- 19.6
- Ceiling
- 22.0
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Caleb Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Matthew Stafford: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 7 final result
Caleb Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Caleb Williams: 22.1 Half PPR · Matthew Stafford: 17.5 Half PPR.
More Week 8 decisions