Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TBFloor13.9
Median17.0
Ceiling23.1
Recent PPG: 15.1
Recent volume: 37.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST
Caleb Williams or Jared Goff: who should I start?
Start Jared Goff over Caleb Williams in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 18.4 to 17.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CHI vs. TBOpen player file →
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIAFloor15.9
Median18.4
Ceiling25.0
Recent PPG: 19.1
Recent volume: 31.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jared Goff
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Recommended start
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 25.0
Half PPR
Start Jared Goff
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Recommended start
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 25.0
PPR
Start Jared Goff
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Caleb Williams
CHI vs. TB- Floor
- 13.9
- Projection
- 17.0
- Ceiling
- 23.1
Recommended start
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIA- Floor
- 15.9
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 25.0
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Caleb Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Jared Goff: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Caleb Williams scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Caleb Williams: 14.0 Half PPR · Jared Goff: 9.0 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions