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Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST

Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start?

Start Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 22.0 to 18.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy

SF vs. TBD
Floor17.0
Median18.0
Ceiling27.3

Recent PPG: 16.3

Recent volume: 38.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. IND
Floor17.2
Median22.0
Ceiling25.0

Recent PPG: 20.5

Recent volume: 43.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 8 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Trevor Lawrence

4.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Brock Purdy

SF vs. TBD
Floor
17.0
Projection
18.0
Ceiling
27.3
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. IND
Floor
17.2
Projection
22.0
Ceiling
25.0
Half PPR

Start Trevor Lawrence

4.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Brock Purdy

SF vs. TBD
Floor
17.0
Projection
18.0
Ceiling
27.3
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. IND
Floor
17.2
Projection
22.0
Ceiling
25.0
PPR

Start Trevor Lawrence

4.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Brock Purdy

SF vs. TBD
Floor
17.0
Projection
18.0
Ceiling
27.3
Recommended start

Trevor Lawrence

JAX vs. IND
Floor
17.2
Projection
22.0
Ceiling
24.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.

Brock Purdy: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Trevor Lawrence: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

More Week 8 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →