Brock Purdy
SF vs. SEAFloor16.7
Median22.1
Ceiling28.4
Recent PPG: 25.1
Recent volume: 34.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Brock Purdy or Dak Prescott: who should I start?
Brock Purdy has the narrow Week 5 lean over Dak Prescott. The Half PPR projection is 22.1 to 21.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
SF vs. SEAOpen player file →
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TBFloor16.3
Median21.2
Ceiling24.5
Recent PPG: 20.3
Recent volume: 45.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Brock Purdy — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Purdy
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 22.1
- Ceiling
- 28.4
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
Half PPR
Start Brock Purdy — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Purdy
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 22.1
- Ceiling
- 28.4
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
PPR
Start Brock Purdy — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Brock Purdy
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 16.7
- Projection
- 22.1
- Ceiling
- 28.4
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 16.3
- Projection
- 21.2
- Ceiling
- 24.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Brock Purdy: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Dak Prescott: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Brock Purdy scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Brock Purdy: 19.6 Half PPR · Dak Prescott: 18.1 Half PPR.
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