Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEAFloor9.9
Median16.8
Ceiling19.3
Recent PPG: 16.2
Recent volume: 10.5
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Trey McBride or Brock Bowers: who should I start?
Start Trey McBride over Brock Bowers in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 16.8 to 14.5.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
ARI vs. SEAOpen player file →
Brock Bowers
LV vs. SFFloor8.5
Median14.5
Ceiling19.6
Recent PPG: 15.8
Recent volume: 9.0
Snap share: 85%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trey McBride
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 14.8
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. SF- Floor
- 5.8
- Projection
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 16.0
Half PPR
Start Trey McBride
2.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 19.3
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. SF- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
PPR
Start Trey McBride
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 13.4
- Projection
- 21.0
- Ceiling
- 24.3
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. SF- Floor
- 10.8
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
The premier tight-end decision, with reception scoring and current target volume central to the answer.
Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Brock Bowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Brock Bowers scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Trey McBride: 16.7 Half PPR · Brock Bowers: 24.7 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 3.3-point leanBrock Bowers over Amon-Ra St. Brown14.5–11.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 5.6-point leanTrey McBride over Amon-Ra St. Brown16.8–11.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.5-point leanBrock Bowers over Ashton Jeanty14.5–12.0 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.8-point leanTrey McBride over Ashton Jeanty16.8–12.0 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callBijan Robinson over Brock Bowers14.6–14.5 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.2-point leanTrey McBride over Bijan Robinson16.8–14.6 Half PPR →