Trey McBride
ARI vs. SFFloor9.9
Median16.0
Ceiling21.1
Recent PPG: 17.1
Recent volume: 11.5
Snap share: 84%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Trey McBride or Brock Bowers: who should I start?
Start Trey McBride over Brock Bowers in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 16.0 to 11.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
ARI vs. SFOpen player file →
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NOFloor6.7
Median11.9
Ceiling12.5
Recent PPG: 12.3
Recent volume: 6.5
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trey McBride
3.0-point gapMedium confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SF- Floor
- 6.5
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 16.5
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NO- Floor
- 4.3
- Projection
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 10.1
Half PPR
Start Trey McBride
4.1-point gapMedium confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SF- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 16.0
- Ceiling
- 21.1
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NO- Floor
- 6.7
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 12.5
PPR
Start Trey McBride
5.2-point gapMedium confidence
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SF- Floor
- 13.5
- Projection
- 19.9
- Ceiling
- 25.8
Other option
Brock Bowers
LV vs. NO- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 14.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
The premier tight-end decision, with reception scoring and current target volume central to the answer.
Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Brock Bowers: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.