Puka Nacua
LAR vs. WASFloor11.0
Median16.7
Ceiling20.1
Recent PPG: 19.4
Recent volume: 11.0
Snap share: 91%
Availability: Did not practice
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba: who should I start?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Puka Nacua in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 20.5 to 16.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LAR vs. WASOpen player file →
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. ARIFloor14.1
Median20.5
Ceiling25.2
Recent PPG: 21.8
Recent volume: 11.5
Snap share: 87%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
3.9-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. WAS- Floor
- 8.1
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 10.6
- Projection
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 21.4
Half PPR
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
3.8-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. WAS- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 20.1
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 14.1
- Projection
- 20.5
- Ceiling
- 25.2
PPR
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
3.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. WAS- Floor
- 13.3
- Projection
- 20.8
- Ceiling
- 24.0
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 17.8
- Projection
- 24.3
- Ceiling
- 29.0
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two elite receivers with materially different current availability and recorded workloads.
Puka Nacua: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Jaxon Smith-Njigba: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Puka Nacua: 19.5 Half PPR · Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 20.8 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · 9.3-point leanJaxon Smith-Njigba over Amon-Ra St. Brown20.5–11.2 Half PPR →WR · 5.5-point leanPuka Nacua over Amon-Ra St. Brown16.7–11.2 Half PPR →WR · 8.5-point leanJaxon Smith-Njigba over CeeDee Lamb20.5–12.0 Half PPR →WR · 4.7-point leanPuka Nacua over CeeDee Lamb16.7–12.0 Half PPR →WR · 8.9-point leanJaxon Smith-Njigba over Chris Olave20.5–11.6 Half PPR →WR · 5.1-point leanPuka Nacua over Chris Olave16.7–11.6 Half PPR →