Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARIFloor9.4
Median17.2
Ceiling19.7
Recent PPG: 19.0
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 85%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown or Puka Nacua: who should I start?
Puka Nacua has the narrow Week 5 lean over Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Half PPR projection is 17.8 to 17.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. ARIOpen player file →
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUFFloor12.4
Median17.8
Ceiling22.8
Recent PPG: 16.6
Recent volume: 10.5
Snap share: 80%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Puka Nacua — close call
0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 6.2
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Recommended start
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 18.4
Half PPR
Start Puka Nacua — close call
0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 9.4
- Projection
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 19.7
Recommended start
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.4
- Projection
- 17.8
- Ceiling
- 22.8
PPR
Start Puka Nacua — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 12.8
- Projection
- 20.8
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Recommended start
Puka Nacua
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 21.6
- Ceiling
- 27.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Puka Nacua: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Puka Nacua scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.5 Half PPR · Puka Nacua: 23.2 Half PPR.