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FANTASY TRADETARGET
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Nico Collins or Trey McBride: who should I start?

Start Nico Collins over Trey McBride in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 16.1 to 14.2.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Nico Collins

Nico Collins

HOU vs. TEN
Floor9.9
Median16.1
Ceiling20.0

Recent PPG: 22.5

Recent volume: 9.0

Snap share: 71%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Trey McBride

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor11.7
Median14.2
Ceiling21.0

Recent PPG: 13.2

Recent volume: 11.5

Snap share: 94%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Nico Collins

3.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Nico Collins

HOU vs. TEN
Floor
7.5
Projection
13.3
Ceiling
16.2
Other option

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
7.4
Projection
10.3
Ceiling
16.4
Half PPR

Start Nico Collins

1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Nico Collins

HOU vs. TEN
Floor
9.9
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
20.0
Other option

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
11.7
Projection
14.2
Ceiling
21.0
PPR

Start Nico Collins — close call

0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Nico Collins

HOU vs. TEN
Floor
11.9
Projection
18.9
Ceiling
23.5
Other option

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
16.0
Projection
18.2
Ceiling
25.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Nico Collins: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Nico Collins scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Nico Collins: 27.3 Half PPR · Trey McBride: 6.6 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →