Bucky Irving
TB vs. CHIFloor7.1
Median17.6
Ceiling18.0
Recent PPG: 20.2
Recent volume: 26.5
Snap share: 55%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST
Bucky Irving or Trey McBride: who should I start?
Bucky Irving has the narrow Week 9 lean over Trey McBride. The Half PPR projection is 17.6 to 16.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
TB vs. CHIOpen player file →
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEAFloor9.9
Median16.8
Ceiling19.3
Recent PPG: 16.2
Recent volume: 10.5
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Bucky Irving
3.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bucky Irving
TB vs. CHI- Floor
- 6.9
- Projection
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Other option
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 14.8
Half PPR
Start Bucky Irving — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bucky Irving
TB vs. CHI- Floor
- 7.1
- Projection
- 17.6
- Ceiling
- 18.0
Other option
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 19.3
PPR
Start Trey McBride
2.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Bucky Irving
TB vs. CHI- Floor
- 8.1
- Projection
- 18.6
- Ceiling
- 20.6
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. SEA- Floor
- 13.4
- Projection
- 21.0
- Ceiling
- 24.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Bucky Irving: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Bucky Irving scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Bucky Irving: 21.0 Half PPR · Trey McBride: 16.7 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 8.5-point leanBucky Irving over A.J. Brown17.6–9.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.1-point leanTrey McBride over Amon-Ra St. Brown16.8–12.7 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.8-point leanTrey McBride over Ashton Jeanty16.8–12.0 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.2-point leanTrey McBride over Bijan Robinson16.8–14.6 Half PPR →FLEX · 5.6-point leanBucky Irving over CeeDee Lamb17.6–12.0 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.8-point leanBucky Irving over Davante Adams17.6–12.8 Half PPR →