Nico Collins
HOU vs. LACFloor7.4
Median11.5
Ceiling18.1
Recent PPG: 11.6
Recent volume: 5.0
Snap share: 70%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Nico Collins or Chris Olave: who should I start?
Chris Olave has the narrow Week 9 lean over Nico Collins. The Half PPR projection is 11.6 to 11.5.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
HOU vs. LACOpen player file →
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLEFloor9.1
Median11.6
Ceiling17.6
Recent PPG: 10.8
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 68%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Nico Collins — close call
0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Nico Collins
HOU vs. LAC- Floor
- 5.4
- Projection
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 14.5
Other option
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 14.3
Half PPR
Start Chris Olave — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Nico Collins
HOU vs. LAC- Floor
- 7.4
- Projection
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 18.1
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.1
- Projection
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 17.6
PPR
Start Chris Olave — close call
0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Nico Collins
HOU vs. LAC- Floor
- 9.1
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 20.8
Recommended start
Chris Olave
NO vs. CLE- Floor
- 12.6
- Projection
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 20.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Adjacent top-ten redraft receivers with current availability and opponent context in play.
Nico Collins: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Chris Olave: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · Close callChris Olave over Amon-Ra St. Brown11.6–11.2 Half PPR →WR · Close callNico Collins over Amon-Ra St. Brown11.5–11.2 Half PPR →WR · Close callCeeDee Lamb over Chris Olave12.0–11.6 Half PPR →WR · Close callCeeDee Lamb over Nico Collins12.0–11.5 Half PPR →WR · Close callChristian Watson over Chris Olave11.9–11.6 Half PPR →WR · Close callDrake London over Chris Olave11.7–11.6 Half PPR →