Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LVFloor13.2
Median20.1
Ceiling27.0
Recent PPG: 18.7
Recent volume: 43.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start?
Start Trevor Lawrence over Matthew Stafford in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 21.5 to 20.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LAR vs. LVOpen player file →
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. TBDFloor17.1
Median21.5
Ceiling24.7
Recent PPG: 20.5
Recent volume: 43.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trevor Lawrence
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 20.1
- Ceiling
- 27.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. TBD- Floor
- 17.1
- Projection
- 21.5
- Ceiling
- 24.7
Half PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 20.1
- Ceiling
- 27.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. TBD- Floor
- 17.1
- Projection
- 21.5
- Ceiling
- 24.7
PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 20.1
- Ceiling
- 27.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. TBD- Floor
- 17.1
- Projection
- 21.5
- Ceiling
- 24.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Matthew Stafford: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Trevor Lawrence: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 6 final result
Trevor Lawrence scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Matthew Stafford: 16.9 Half PPR · Trevor Lawrence: 27.3 Half PPR.
More Week 7 decisions