Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. INDFloor4.8
Median11.7
Ceiling11.9
Recent PPG: 13.6
Recent volume: 4.5
Snap share: 51%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Justin Jefferson or Trey McBride: who should I start?
Start Trey McBride over Justin Jefferson in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 12.9 to 11.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
MIN vs. INDOpen player file →
Trey McBride
ARI vs. DENFloor9.6
Median12.9
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 11.1
Recent volume: 9.5
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Justin Jefferson — close call
0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 9.3
Other option
Trey McBride
ARI vs. DEN- Floor
- 6.3
- Projection
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 14.4
Half PPR
Start Trey McBride
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 4.8
- Projection
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 11.9
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. DEN- Floor
- 9.6
- Projection
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Trey McBride
2.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 6.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Recommended start
Trey McBride
ARI vs. DEN- Floor
- 13.1
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 23.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Justin Jefferson: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 7 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 2.4-point leanAmon-Ra St. Brown over Trey McBride15.3–12.9 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callAshton Jeanty over Justin Jefferson12.2–11.7 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callTrey McBride over Ashton Jeanty12.9–12.2 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callBhayshul Tuten over Justin Jefferson11.7–11.7 Half PPR →FLEX · 1.5-point leanCeeDee Lamb over Trey McBride14.4–12.9 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callChase Brown over Justin Jefferson11.7–11.7 Half PPR →