Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. LARFloor7.8
Median12.2
Ceiling15.2
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 16.0
Snap share: 56%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Justin Jefferson: who should I start?
Ashton Jeanty has the narrow Week 7 lean over Justin Jefferson. The Half PPR projection is 12.2 to 11.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. LAROpen player file →
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. INDFloor4.8
Median11.7
Ceiling11.9
Recent PPG: 13.6
Recent volume: 4.5
Snap share: 51%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Ashton Jeanty
1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. LAR- Floor
- 5.9
- Projection
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 12.4
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 3.1
- Projection
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 9.3
Half PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. LAR- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 15.2
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 4.8
- Projection
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 11.9
PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. LAR- Floor
- 9.6
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 18.0
Other option
Justin Jefferson
MIN vs. IND- Floor
- 6.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Justin Jefferson: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 7 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 1.9-point leanAshton Jeanty over A.J. Brown12.2–10.3 Half PPR →FLEX · 3.1-point leanAmon-Ra St. Brown over Ashton Jeanty15.3–12.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.9-point leanBrock Bowers over Ashton Jeanty15.1–12.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.2-point leanCeeDee Lamb over Ashton Jeanty14.4–12.2 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callChris Olave over Ashton Jeanty13.1–12.2 Half PPR →