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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST

Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts: who should I start?

Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 21.8 to 0.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Josh Allen warming up on the field

Josh Allen

BUF vs. MIN
Floor17.0
Median21.8
Ceiling30.1

Recent PPG: 23.5

Recent volume: 39.5

Snap share: 98%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. NYG
Floor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0

Recent PPG: 13.8

Recent volume: 37.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: Reserve list

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Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Josh Allen

21.8-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. MIN
Floor
17.0
Projection
21.8
Ceiling
30.1
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Half PPR

Start Josh Allen

21.8-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. MIN
Floor
17.0
Projection
21.8
Ceiling
30.1
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
PPR

Start Josh Allen

21.8-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. MIN
Floor
17.1
Projection
21.8
Ceiling
30.1
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. NYG
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

An elite-quarterback decision comparing two of fantasy football's strongest rushing and touchdown profiles.

Josh Allen: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Jalen Hurts: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →