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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts: who should I start?

Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 26.2 to 19.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Josh Allen warming up on the field

Josh Allen

BUF vs. LAC
Floor18.1
Median26.2
Ceiling29.7

Recent PPG: 38.3

Recent volume: 40.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. CHI
Floor16.2
Median19.7
Ceiling24.9

Recent PPG: 20.5

Recent volume: 37.0

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Josh Allen

6.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. LAC
Floor
18.1
Projection
26.2
Ceiling
29.7
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
16.2
Projection
19.7
Ceiling
24.9
Half PPR

Start Josh Allen

6.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. LAC
Floor
18.1
Projection
26.2
Ceiling
29.7
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
16.2
Projection
19.7
Ceiling
24.9
PPR

Start Josh Allen

6.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Josh Allen

BUF vs. LAC
Floor
18.1
Projection
26.2
Ceiling
29.7
Other option

Jalen Hurts

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
16.2
Projection
19.7
Ceiling
24.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

An elite-quarterback decision comparing two of fantasy football's strongest rushing and touchdown profiles.

Josh Allen: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Jalen Hurts: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →