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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT

Jonathan Taylor or Puka Nacua: who should I start?

Start Jonathan Taylor over Puka Nacua in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 19.9 to 17.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor10.4
Median19.9
Ceiling23.9

Recent PPG: 20.3

Recent volume: 25.0

Snap share: 78%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

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Photograph of Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor12.4
Median17.8
Ceiling22.8

Recent PPG: 16.6

Recent volume: 10.5

Snap share: 80%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Jonathan Taylor

4.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
9.1
Projection
18.6
Ceiling
22.3
Other option

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
9.0
Projection
13.9
Ceiling
18.4
Half PPR

Start Jonathan Taylor

2.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.4
Projection
19.9
Ceiling
23.9
Other option

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
12.4
Projection
17.8
Ceiling
22.8
PPR

Start Puka Nacua — close call

0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.7
Projection
21.3
Ceiling
25.7
Recommended start

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
15.1
Projection
21.6
Ceiling
27.3

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Jonathan Taylor: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Puka Nacua: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Puka Nacua scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Jonathan Taylor: 22.2 Half PPR · Puka Nacua: 23.2 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →